Core Tip: Looking back on 2009, the import and export of machine tool tools showed two major characteristics: First, the import fluctuations were very large; second, the export volume rebounded slowly in most months. Looking forward to 2010, the import and export of machine tools will continue to rise and fall gradually.
Import and export analysis in 2009 According to customs statistics, the total import and export value of machine tools in China in 2009 was 13.682 billion US dollars, a decrease of 24.02% over the same period of the previous year. Among them, imports were 9.553 billion US dollars, down 21.62% year-on-year (in 2008, imports increased by 6.35%); exports were 4.129 billion US dollars, down 29.05% year-on-year (2008 exports increased by 28.53%). The import and export deficit was 5.424 billion U.S. dollars, a decrease of 944 million U.S. dollars compared with the previous year’s deficit of 6.368 billion U.S. dollars (the above are in accordance with the statistics of China Machinery Industry Federation, the same below).
2009 Import and Export of Metal Processing Machines In 2009, the import volume of metal processing machine tools was 51,200 units, the import value was 5.863 billion US dollars, and the amount decreased by 22.27% year-on-year; the export value was 1.349 billion US dollars, down 33.31% year-on-year. among them:
The import volume of CNC machine tools was 10,500 units, the import value was 2.733 billion yuan, and the amount decreased by 13.62% year-on-year; the export volume was 10,400 units, 293 million US dollars, and the amount decreased by 41.03% year-on-year;
The import volume of processing centers was 8,820 units, the import value was US$1.559 billion, and the amount decreased by 25.3%. The export volume was 636 units, and the export value was US$55 million. The amount decreased by 44.44% year-on-year;
The import volume of combined machine tools was 486 units, with a value of 227 million US dollars, an increase of 89.44% over the same period of last year; the export of 1,795 units, valued at 9.19 million US dollars, the amount decreased by 16.11%.
Looking back on 2009, the import and export of machine tools presented two major characteristics:
First, the import is very ups and downs. From the monthly import volume of the whole industry, the import volume in June, September and December exceeded 900 million US dollars, and the other monthly imports were between 600 million and 800 million US dollars. Imports of 980 million U.S. dollars in December were the highest months of the year, and the fluctuations were very large.
Second, exports have slowly recovered from the majority of the month. From the monthly output of the whole industry, compared with the previous month, the monthly rebound from March has been slow. Exports in December were 436 million U.S. dollars, the highest export value for the whole year, an increase of 16.27% over November, and the situation improved month by month.
It is worth noting that the average unit price of CNC machine tools (including machining centers) has undergone major changes: compared to 2008, the unit price of imports increased in 2009, and the unit price of exports declined. In 2008, the average unit price of imports was 160,700 US dollars, and in 2009 it was 221,700 US dollars; in 2008, the average export price was 34,500 US dollars, and in 2009 it was 31,400 US dollars. The export situation is not optimistic.
It is also since 2009 that the domestic and international market demand for machine tool industry has undergone major changes: large, heavy-duty machine tools and high-end CNC machine tools continue to sell well, and ordinary machine tools have fallen sharply.
Outlook on Import and Export in 2010 According to the International Monetary Fund, the world economy will gradually move towards a slow recovery in 2010. But this is based on a very stipulated loose monetary policy and government intervention support. The foundation of demand expansion is not sustainable and stable. From the perspective of the export of machine tools, the shrinking demand of China's major export markets such as the EU, the United States, and Japan will continue for some time. The recovery of export trade is still weakly supported, and the speed of recovery of machine tool export trade will also be affected. Although there is some warmth in the demand of the international market, the dynamics of the recovery of the world economy are still insufficient, and many deep-seated contradictions and problems have yet to be resolved. At the same time, the pressure on the appreciation of the renminbi has increased; in the face of economic downturn, trade protectionism in various countries will continue to occur. These will have an impact on exports.
Based on the above situation, the import and export of machine tools in 2010 will continue to fluctuate and gradually pick up.
On the one hand, the economic situation of developed economies such as Europe, the United States and Japan began to slowly improve. Chinese enterprises have achieved results in exploring other potential markets, and demand will increase. On the other hand, the export base of machine tools in 2009 has been low. Therefore, the year-on-year growth rate of exports in 2010 is expected to change from negative growth in 2009 to positive growth, but the export volume has to meet or exceed the level of 2008 (the export of machine tools and tools was 5.82 billion US dollars). There are still many difficulties. Demand and the effects of our policy measures.
A number of countermeasures and suggestions Because of the large scale of external demand contraction, there is a big difference in the structure and domestic demand. In the short term, it is difficult to comprehensively replace or compensate for the demand gap caused by external demand contraction. To make the following recommendations for this:
1. Continue to implement various policies and measures such as fiscal, taxation, finance, and trade facilitation In response to the impact of the international financial crisis, the Chinese government has adopted a number of policies to increase macroeconomic regulation and control, and the country's fixed asset investment has grown at a high rate; Policy measures for the development of industry and automobile industry, encourage technological transformation of enterprises; comprehensively implement VAT reform; expand domestic consumption to stimulate domestic demand. At the same time, the tariff-free and VAT-free policies for a large number of imported equipment for domestic investment projects were abolished, and the VAT exemption policy for imported equipment of all foreign-funded enterprises was abolished. These policies are conducive to the independent innovation of Chinese enterprises and enhance the competitiveness of domestically produced equipment.
As far as the export of machine tools is concerned: First, we must maintain and implement the export tax rebate policy, promptly refund the tax and institutionalize it; second, we must increase export credit support. For enterprises with reimbursable capacity to import Chinese machinery products, it is recommended that China's relevant financial institutions provide RMB export credits, and expand the proportion of export credits of machinery products in general trade; third, improve the export credit insurance system and open commercial insurance. The company operates export credit insurance business for machinery products.
The above-mentioned various policy measures, the relevant machinery enterprises should fully grasp and actively seek the support of relevant parties to promote the production of enterprises and the development of foreign trade.
2. Vigorously optimize the structure of export products and transform the development mode of foreign trade. At present, many enterprises in the machine tool industry face fewer orders and sales decline, and enterprises face many problems and difficulties. To this end, on the one hand, we must continuously improve the quality of labor-intensive products with advantages (such as some bench drills, abrasive tools, various tools and some ordinary machine tools, etc.), consolidate and expand the international market share; on the other hand, we must transform and upgrade. Continuously optimize the structure of export products, gradually change the current situation of low value-added and low-tech products, increase the development of high-tech and high-value-added products, develop products with independent intellectual property rights, and attach importance to Continuous improvement and improvement of product technical standards, efforts to close and transform international standards or international advanced technology standards, and enhance international competitiveness.
It is necessary to gradually transform part of the processing trade (currently 16% of the export of machine tool processing trade to the export of the whole industry) into general trade exports; transform some OEM products into independent brand exports; adjust high-pollution, high-energy-consuming, high-consumption scarce resources Product structure (such as abrasives, castings, etc.) to increase added value.
On November 25, 2009, the State Council decided that by 2020, China's carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP will fall by 40%–45% compared with 2005. As a binding indicator, it will be included in the national medium- and long-term plan. This goal requires the machinery industry to vigorously adjust the product structure, develop energy-saving products, eliminate backward production capacity, develop new energy vehicles, and reduce the export of high-energy-consuming products.
3. Strive to open up potential markets, actively expand exports to ASEAN must diversify and explore other potential markets, such as the Middle East, Central Asia, Latin America, Africa, Eastern Europe, India, Brazil, Russia, etc., and strive to make up for lost shares in the EU, the US and other markets. . In recent years, China's machinery products and emerging economies such as India, Brazil, and Russia (ie, the three BRIC countries except China) have developed rapidly. China's exports of machinery products have generally experienced rapid growth. In 2009, China's exports of machinery products reached US$8.796 billion, and continued to maintain its growth momentum. China and Chile, Singapore and Peru have signed separate free trade agreements, and China’s product exports will benefit from tax reduction arrangements.
Actively expand exports to ASEAN. According to the agreement, China and the six ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Brunei) will reduce the import tariffs of more than 90% of the products to zero, and the average tariffs of China and ASEAN from January 1, 2010. From 9.8% in 2009 to 0.1%; the average tariffs of the six ASEAN countries to China fell from 12.8% in 2009 to 0.6%. And built a free trade zone. China's production of many gold cutting machine tools, machining centers, pressure machinery, bending machines and other forming machine tools and some tools, abrasive tools, machine tool parts and other competitive advantages, we must actively strive to expand exports.
chip led 0807,led chip 0807,smd led 0807,lamp led 0807,led lamp 0807
SHENZHEN YGHQ Optoelectronics Co.,ltd. , https://www.leds-smd.com