Analysis of the operation of foreign equipment manufacturing industry in the first half of the year

In the first half of 2010, the global economy continued its recovery. From the situation of new machinery orders in Germany, the United States, Japan, the Eurozone and the European Union, although the chain-on-year and year-on-year growth rates fluctuated during the period from January to June, the overall trend showed a rebound trend, indicating that the manufacturing industry is recovering. Investment activities increased. Economic recovery growth and the extremely low number of orders in 2009 are the main reasons for this data growth. Germany 1. Mechanical orders continued to increase year-on-year. According to the latest statistics released by the German Machinery Manufacturers Association (VDMA), in the first half of 2010, orders for the German machinery and equipment industry increased by 32% year-on-year, 5 percentage points faster than February-April; in June, Orders for machinery and equipment in Germany increased by 62% year-on-year, an increase of 1 percentage point from May. Orders have continued to increase since April, with a year-on-year increase of 53% from April to June. The increase in orders is so significant. On the one hand, due to the impact of the global economic crisis in 2009, the German mechanical equipment manufacturing industry has a low base, but more importantly, the German economy is full of vitality in the first half of 2010, and the operating environment of the machinery manufacturing industry has been significantly improved. 2. Domestic demand has gradually picked up, and industry development is expected to be good. In the first quarter of 2010, German machinery and equipment manufacturing export orders increased slightly more than domestic orders, but as time went on, domestic orders began to gradually increase. In June, domestic machinery orders increased by 67% year-on-year, and foreign orders increased by 60% year-on-year. In the first half of the year, the domestic and international markets increased by 27% and 34% respectively. VDMA Chairman Wittenstein said that since August 2009, the production of German machinery and equipment manufacturing is improving month by month. In view of the obvious recovery momentum, the association raised its growth forecast and expects the German machinery industry's output value to achieve a real growth of 3% in 2010. 3. Machine tool production increased for the first time in 15 months. Although the total machine tool production in Germany in the first five months of 2010 has not reached the 2009 level, the first positive growth in 15 months in May, machine tool orders increased by more than 25% year-on-year. . Among them, the growth of demand in overseas markets is particularly strong. VDMA predicts that German machine tool exports will increase by 3% year-on-year in 2010. 4. The rubber and plastics machinery industry has improved, and Germany continues to rank first in the global rubber and plastics machinery exporting countries and regions. In the first half of 2010, demand in almost all markets rose sharply. Thorsten Kühmann, managing director of VDMA's rubber and plastics machinery branch, said that the development trend of the rubber and plastics machinery market is better than expected at the beginning of the year, and members of the association are optimistic about the outlook for the second half of the year. According to a forecast report released by VDMA recently, the sales of the German rubber and plastics machinery industry will increase by more than 11% in 2010, and the growth rate in 2011 will be slightly lower than 11%. The driving force behind the growth of the industry is mainly from foreign market demand, especially in Asia. United States, 1. Machinery equipment orders continued to increase in growth rate. In May 2010, new orders and shipments of US machinery and equipment rebounded again after falling in April. Among them, new orders increased by 5.6%, and shipments increased by 3.2%. In February, the growth rate of new orders and shipments of machinery and equipment in the United States turned from negative to positive. 2. Exports of machinery products increased by 18% year-on-year. In the first half of 2010, US machinery and equipment products (HS84) exported US$87.54 billion, up 18.0% year-on-year, 6.7 percentage points faster than the first quarter; among them, exports in June were US$15.47 billion. , an increase of 24.2%. Machinery and equipment still ranked first in the US in the first half of the year, accounting for 14.3% of total exports. 3. China is the largest source of imports of mechanical and electrical products in the United States, and the third largest export destination. In the first half of 2010, US imports of mechanical and electrical products (HS84-85) were US$77.075 billion from China, up 29.7% year-on-year. 33.1% is the largest source of imports of mechanical and electrical products in the United States. In the first half of 2010, among the US exports of mechanical and electrical products, the number of mechanical and electrical products exported to China was 10.903 billion US dollars, up 30.7% year-on-year, accounting for 6.8%. It is the third largest export destination, behind Canada and Mexico. 4. Construction machinery giant Caterpillar's second-quarter profit surged. Although it suffered a severe blow from the financial crisis, the US construction machinery market also experienced a certain degree of recession, but it is still the largest production site and market for global construction machinery. US engineering machinery giant Caterpillar recently released a financial report that in the second quarter of 2010, the company's net profit surged 91% to 707 million US dollars, earnings per share of 1.09 US dollars, the total revenue of the quarter was 10.4 billion US dollars, a year-on-year The growth rate was 31%; its machinery sales increased by 55%, of which the North American market grew by 43%, and the Latin American market sales more than doubled. Caterpillar once again raised its full-year profit target. It is estimated that the total revenue for the whole year of 2010 will be between 39 billion and 42 billion US dollars. The annual earnings per share will remain between 3.15 and 3.85 US dollars, much higher than previously expected. 2.50 ~ 3.25 US dollars. As orders exceed shipment capacity, Caterpillar will increase capacity in the second half of the year and be positive about the long-term prospects of the industries it serves, such as mining, energy, infrastructure, power and rail. Japan, 1. Japan’s core machinery orders rose again in June, and the latest data released by the Cabinet Office of Japan showed that after seasonal adjustments, core machinery orders increased by 1.6% in May from May, and rebounded again after two months. The decline in May was 9.1. %. Compared with the same period in 2009, machinery orders in June fell by 2.2%. Relevant data shows that the rebound in corporate spending will slow down. In the second quarter of 2010, Japan’s core machinery orders increased by 0.3% from the previous quarter, which is the third consecutive quarter of this indicator. The Japanese government's assessment of machinery orders remains unchanged, and the industry is showing signs of recovery. Machinery orders are expected to increase by 0.8% in the third quarter. 2. Japan's construction machinery shipments accelerated year-on-year. According to the Japan Construction Equipment Manufacturers Association, in the first half of 2010, the growth rate of Japanese construction machinery shipments rose month by month, and the monthly growth rate from January to June was respectively. They are 15.7%, 31.4%, 45.3%, 64.5%, 73.7% and 87%. From January to June, Japanese construction machinery shipments totaled 818.925 billion yen, a year-on-year increase of 50%. Among them, foreign shipments accounted for 73.5%, an increase of 84.8%; domestic shipments accounted for 26.5%, down 1.5%. According to the financial report released by Komatsu, the world's second largest construction machinery manufacturer, in the first fiscal quarter of 2010 (April to June), the company's net profit increased by 6.4 times year-on-year to 30.6 billion yen; sales profit increased by 6.5 times to 540. 100 million yen; operating profit margin is 12.1%. In addition, Komatsu plans to double production in 2010 to meet the market demand of Asian countries such as China and Indonesia. Europe, 1. In the Eurozone, orders for capital goods such as machinery and equipment increased the most in June. After the financial crisis broke out, industrial orders in the Eurozone and the European Union fell sharply, but they have generally rebounded since the beginning of 2009. As the euro zone's economic growth rate in the second quarter of 2010 hit its highest level in four years, the euro zone (EA16) industrial orders in June increased more than economists expected, indicating that the industrial production recovery in the euro zone will continue in the coming months. In June 2010, industrial orders in the 16 countries of the Eurozone increased by 2.5% from the previous month. After the revision in May, it increased by 4.1% from the previous month. Compared with the same period of last year, the increase in June was 22.6%, and in May it increased by 23%. Compared with May, orders for machinery and other capital goods in the Eurozone rose the most in June, up 5.3%; orders for intermediate products such as automobile engines increased by 0.1%; orders for durable and non-durable consumer goods fell by 1.1% and 1.8% respectively. Since January 2010, the year-on-year growth rate of orders for capital goods such as machinery and equipment in the Eurozone has risen month by month. Orders for machinery and other capital goods in the Eurozone increased by 22.7% year-on-year in June, compared with 20.9% in May. In June 2010, orders for machinery and other capital goods in the EU-27 (EU27) increased by 5.1% quarter-on-quarter and 23.8% year-on-year. In May, it increased by 4.7% quarter-on-quarter and 16.1% year-on-year. 2. Production of capital goods such as machinery and equipment in the Eurozone continued to grow. According to data released by Eurostat, in June 2010, industrial production in the Eurozone fell by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 8.2% year-on-year. In terms of industries, compared with May 2010, only the capital goods and energy production in the industrial production in the euro zone increased, and other sectors showed different degrees of decline. Among them, machinery and equipment and other capital goods production increased by 0.2%, energy production increased by 0.3%; durable consumer goods production decreased by 0.9%, engine and steel and other intermediate products decreased by 0.6%, and non-durable consumer goods production decreased by 0.1%.

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