Abstract Based on the fact that the world economy continues to grow, the pattern of frequent anti-dumping is not a major area of ​​China's steel exports, and China's steel export price advantage has not been completely lost. Chen Kexin, chief analyst of Lange Steel Economic Research Center, believes that China's steel exports will continue this year. Guarantee...
Based on the fact that the world economy continues to grow, the pattern of frequent anti-dumping is not a major factor in China's steel export and China's steel export price advantage is not completely lost. Chen Kexin, chief analyst of Lange Steel Economic Research Center, believes that China's steel exports will remain this year. Larger scale. According to customs statistics, in the first four months of this year, the country exported 36.9 million tons of steel, an increase of 7.6% year-on-year, and the growth momentum was relatively strong. Chen Kexin said that if the export situation in the first four months of this year is simply calculated, it is expected that the annual steel export volume will reach 110 million tons. In 2016, China's steel export volume can maintain a large scale, there are three main factors:
First, the pattern of continued growth in the world economy has not changed. Under this large pattern, global steel demand continues to grow, although the momentum is weak and weak, but it has not stagnated. Compared with the steel demand and steel production capacity of the world's major economies, the dependence of global steel demand on China's exports will continue to increase. This makes the total amount of China's steel exports in 2016 not lower than the previous year's level.
Second, frequent anti-dumping is not a major area of ​​China's steel exports. In recent years, the main anti-dumping measures for China's steel products are mainly the EU and the United States, but China's steel exports to Europe and the United States account for a small proportion. Even because of the increase in anti-dumping tariffs, China’s steel exports to European and American countries will drop significantly in the future, but it will only reduce millions of tons, and will not fundamentally shake the scale of China’s steel exports.
Again, China's steel export price advantage has not been completely lost. In recent years, one of the main factors for the sustained and substantial growth of China's steel exports has been the price advantage. Comparing the major steel producing countries and exporting countries in the world, the low cost and low price advantage of China's export steel products still exist, which makes China's steel products continue to become the first choice in the international market.
Chen Kexin believes that the low-cost competitive advantage of China's steel enterprises in 2016 is still there, and the new steel demand in the world will mainly depend on China's steel exports to be resolved. In 2016, China's steel exports will continue to maintain a large scale.
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